Tafel Power

Markets / PJM

PJM Interconnection

The world's largest data-center market, and almost no new gas in the queue.

Mid-Atlantic to Midwest (13 states + DC)Capacity market, mixed merchant and regulated

0.7GW

Deliverable gas

95GW

Existing gas

5.8GW

Planned gas

Deliverable = signed interconnection agreement, in service by 2028, merchant (reconciled from the ISO's own queue). Existing and planned from EIA-860M.


PJM holds the world's largest concentration of data centers in the Dominion zone (Northern Virginia), and its own load forecast shows that zone leading all of PJM at about +6.7 GW of summer peak growth to 2030. Yet the interconnection queue delivers almost no new gas to meet it: across the entire PJM footprint, only about 0.7 GW of gas is signed, near-term, and still to be built.

The reason is structure. PJM is a capacity market, so firm power is met through the existing 95 GW gas fleet, the capacity auction (where prices have moved up sharply), and behind-the-meter deals, not through new merchant queue positions. Northern Virginia, the biggest demand in the country, has essentially zero deliverable new gas behind it.

For a data center, PJM offers the best fiber, latency, and ecosystem and the worst and most expensive time-to-power. If you build there for firm gas, you are buying into the capacity market or building your own generation, not contracting a merchant queue position.


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